Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003812 0.004167 0.004547 0.004985 0.005479 0.006018 0.006655
2025-11-02 0.003171 0.003658 0.004218 0.004912 0.005757 0.006762 0.008061
2025-11-09 0.002833 0.003387 0.004053 0.004923 0.006042 0.007456 0.009411
2025-11-16 0.002563 0.003149 0.003879 0.004871 0.006206 0.007978 0.010571
2025-11-23 0.002333 0.002931 0.003697 0.004772 0.006276 0.008358 0.011560
2025-11-30 0.002200 0.002821 0.003639 0.004823 0.006540 0.009019 0.013026
2025-12-07 0.002120 0.002772 0.003653 0.004967 0.006942 0.009914 0.014967
2025-12-14 0.001985 0.002635 0.003532 0.004903 0.007023 0.010322 0.016175
2025-12-21 0.001855 0.002496 0.003396 0.004800 0.007028 0.010605 0.017200
2025-12-28 0.001755 0.002391 0.003301 0.004750 0.007107 0.011007 0.018487
2026-01-04 0.001687 0.002328 0.003261 0.004779 0.007314 0.011644 0.020301
2026-01-11 0.001602 0.002235 0.003170 0.004719 0.007361 0.012003 0.021630
2026-01-18 0.001525 0.002152 0.003094 0.004683 0.007463 0.012498 0.023378
2026-01-25 0.001445 0.002062 0.003001 0.004615 0.007504 0.012890 0.025004
2026-02-01 0.001390 0.002005 0.002957 0.004625 0.007684 0.013569 0.027401
2026-02-08 0.001327 0.001934 0.002884 0.004577 0.007750 0.014028 0.029379
2026-02-15 0.001261 0.001853 0.002791 0.004486 0.007724 0.014293 0.030939
2026-02-22 0.001227 0.001820 0.002776 0.004533 0.007969 0.015163 0.034243
2026-03-01 0.001210 0.001816 0.002807 0.004666 0.008400 0.016501 0.039164
2026-03-08 0.001161 0.001756 0.002738 0.004607 0.008429 0.016930 0.041618
2026-03-15 0.001109 0.001688 0.002653 0.004512 0.008374 0.017152 0.043520
2026-03-22 0.001068 0.001638 0.002596 0.004465 0.008417 0.017619 0.046313
2026-03-29 0.001042 0.001610 0.002577 0.004492 0.008625 0.018523 0.050807